The striking thing about this survey of infectious disease experts' predictions is not that the predictions are dire, though some are, but how much variation there is. And if these people don't know what's going to happen, that means no one does.https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/infectious-disease-experts-dont-know-how-bad-the-coronavirus-is-going-to-get-either/ …
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What’s going on in Japan?https://twitter.com/FreemanrugbyJPN/status/1241520464825962496 …
Seems like: 1. Not testing very much 2. Not marking covid deaths as covid deaths 3. Social distancing Combined with strict inbound testing/blocks?
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More. How does this reconcile w Spain, Italy carrying the same virus from similar travelers? https://twitter.com/Matt_Alt/status/1241597291594575872 … No social distancing obviously in these pictures.
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