@Molson_Hart
I spoke with some policy people and they explained how even if we can't solve this without a vaccine, we can do much better
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We have two levers to fight this: - social distancing - medical tools You pull either lever and R0 falls. And you can pull both lever to the degree you want.
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Today we don't have enough medical tools. We don't have enough testing kits, test capacity, tracing, surveillance tools etc. So we can only pull that lever a little bit. So we have to keep pulling on the social distancing lever. And if nothing works, we lock down like France did
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Everyday we are adding more and more medical weapons to fight this. And as we get more of those and can push R0<1, we can reduce the pull on the social distancing lever. It won't be perfect, but it will be much better than now. We can be like Korea then or even better.
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If we can get R0<1 in the summer months and put a vaccine on top of this, we can snuff out the virus by Summer 2021
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Medical tools + less disruptive social distancing (washing hands, wearing masks, staying away from people, etc.) can get an R0 under 1. Would be awesome.
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