After infections subside, the area will get reinfected and the cycle will repeat. Unless the virus mutates to become worse, each success peak will be lower because more and more people will be locally immune. I think this method is the best way to address limited health
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Care capacity but also people’s’ desires to not be cooped up in their homes for a year. Quarantine. Return to normalcy. Quarantine. Return to normalcy. Delay delay delay, until we have a vaccine. You can’t just “accept this risk”. Too many people will die becaus everyone will
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Hit the hospital system at the same time, reducing overall care for covid but also every other ailment in the hospital.
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Not so much a prediction as something I'd like to be true, but anyways:
#COVID19 will be America's second sputnik moment. We will be so embarrassed by our incompetence relative to China, that we will start reinvesting in science and industry once again!3 replies 1 retweet 7 likesShow this thread -
Molson Hart Retweeted Molson Hart
@molson_hart Apologies for those who get to see this for nth time...had to throw it on my predictions thread.https://twitter.com/Molson_Hart/status/1237533313213972482 …Molson Hart added,
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Molson Hart Retweeted Elon Musk
The Chinese infection statistics are fake. It doesn't mean they haven't contained the virus, but the idea that there isn't a single new infection in China, amongst 1.4 billion people and countless foreigner travelers, not even a false positive, is a joke.https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1240753430001356801 …
Molson Hart added,
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Very hard to believe they have 0 infections when there are still this many flights going on in and around China with ~20% of people showing no symptoms at all.pic.twitter.com/E2TycsF7a6
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Replying to @Molson_Hart
Great thread - you have clearly been ahead of the curve.
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Replying to @GutFeelCapital
Thanks for the kind words, but...nah. Just got it more right than most. Best not to think like I can see the future of this thing. That's a great way for me to get into trouble. Helps to have China experience.
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Replying to @Molson_Hart
Well, scrolled through the thread again, very little (if any) that is wrong so far imo. I’m unfortunately in the camp of, long, drawn-out, painful, supression until we get vaccine and/or herd immunity.
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Yup, you know what club I've joined haha.
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