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Molson_Hart's profile
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
@Molson_Hart

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Molson Hart

@Molson_Hart

CEO at http://amazon.com/viahart . CEO at http://edisonlf.com . I tweet about business, e-commerce, supply chain, health, law, & infrastructure

Austin, TX
Joined July 2015

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    1. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Mar 18
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      There seems to be an interesting misconception floating around that bailout => equity holders don't lose their investments. In the GFC, there were companies that got bailed out (GM, Chrysler) and after that failed, the Gov't (US and CA) wound up owning them. Equity went to 0.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. David Short‏ @davidgshort Mar 18
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      It depends on the structure of the bailout. Bank bailouts in financial crisis did not zero out equity holders.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. David Short‏ @davidgshort Mar 18
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      Replying to @davidgshort @Molson_Hart

      Never mind, I misread your original post. Yes, bailout doesn’t guarantee it doesn’t still go bankrupt

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    4. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Mar 18
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      Replying to @davidgshort

      When you say "bank bailouts in the financial crisis didn't zero out equity holders" are you saying the bailout of the banks or the bailouts from the banks to other industries didn't zero out equity holders? My understanding is that equity holders in Citi etc. didn't get zeroed

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    5. David Short‏ @davidgshort Mar 18
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      Yeah, I meant Citi and all the other banks got cash in exchange for debt and equity warrants, and the equity holders didn’t get zeroed out. I made a 50-100% return buying C and BAC in the crisis, but I was betting they’d go to zero or be worth double where they were trading

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Mar 18
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      Replying to @davidgshort

      When you say debt (1) and equity (2) warrants would those be: 1. Right to purchase equity at a certain price combined with debt financing? 2. Right to purchase equity at a certain price? Had Citi gone bankrupt, do you know what would've happened to 1 and 2?

      2:29 PM - 18 Mar 2020
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        2. David Short‏ @davidgshort Mar 18
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          Replying to @Molson_Hart

          If they’d gone bankrupt, the government would have had high level rights given the debt, but I think the government equity would have also gone to zero

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. David Short‏ @davidgshort Mar 18
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          Replying to @davidgshort @Molson_Hart

          Does that all make sense? In both cases government got debt and equity. With car companies, they went bankrupt, common equity holders got wiped out, government lost money. With banks, they didn’t go bankrupt, common equity dropped in value but not 0, and government made money

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. David Short‏ @davidgshort Mar 18
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          Replying to @Molson_Hart

          I think I actually conflated the bailout and Uncle Warren’s terms with Bank of America. Government just got debt and equity. Warren got equity with special dividends and warrants to purchase more at current price. https://www.google.com/amp/s/fortune.com/2013/09/10/government-banks-15-billion-on-citigroup-bailout/amp/ … https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.fool.com/amp/investing/2018/09/23/10-years-later-warren-buffett-and-the-financial-cr.aspx …

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