Molson Hart

My prediction: The epidemic hits in a month or two and there are massive casualties but nowhere near enough to give herd immunity if things stop being shut down. Everything stays locked down until a year from now when there's a vaccine which works reliably \

I've read that no chance that we get a vaccine in a year

I'm being a bit optimistic on that part, but a lot of resources are being thrown at it and it is a universally recognized emergency situation.

The Joe Rogan/Osterholm interview goes into it. Basically, we could have a vaccine tomorrow, but it takes a lot of time to know whether or not it works and is safe. Some vaccines seem to work...and then they kill you. It's not just a question of expediting regulatory processes.

Once a vaccine is shown to be safe and has construct validity, they'll probably just deploy it en masse anyway and hope it's effective. Waiting for a preventative clinical trial at the cost of the economy is dumb.