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Molson_Hart's profile
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
@Molson_Hart

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Molson Hart

@Molson_Hart

CEO at http://amazon.com/viahart . CEO at http://edisonlf.com . I tweet about business, e-commerce, supply chain, health, law, & infrastructure

Austin, TX
Joined July 2015

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    1. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Mar 14
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      Replying to @orrdavid

      Why does it seem obvious? This would be extraordinary. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. Also: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jubilee_(biblical) …

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. David Orr‏ @orrdavid Mar 14
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      The problem makes the GFC seem insignificant by comparison. Here assuming restaurants have to stay closed for 6-12 months, then what? They're all going to close up shop, all the landlords won't make mortgage payments, and all the bank loans are going bad? No way.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    3. David Orr‏ @orrdavid Mar 14
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      Replying to @orrdavid @Molson_Hart

      And this doesn't stop at restaurants, or the workers who have home mortgages that would fail, etc. Most banks would just fail? Seems obvious you just put this on hold, since this is a public health problem. Maybe I'm wrong I guess.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    4. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Mar 14
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      Replying to @orrdavid

      I think certain types of restos will fail. Others can switch to delivery and implement social distancing. The bad ones will fail ofc. I don’t see a way to save them. Give them 50% of their last years tax return? I’m not sure the rest of society can accept that.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. David Orr‏ @orrdavid Mar 14
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      I don't see how this is a question of good or bad. If a sit down restaurant like Olive Garden, Cheesecake Factory, quality steak house, jewish deli can't seat customers for public safety reasons... but they have huge lease liabilities ... they just go bankrupt.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Mar 14
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      Replying to @orrdavid

      So let them? I mean...if the cure is handing them massive amounts of cash. For society the cure is worse than the disease.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. David Orr‏ @orrdavid Mar 14
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      I've been stewing on this all day. I'm pretty sure that's not the optimal answer. Bad players losing during a recession is great, makes the world more efficient. Good players losing from an act of God ... think that makes the world a worse place.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Mar 14
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      Replying to @orrdavid

      So what do we do? Let’s say we have a year of 50% lower restaurant receipts or banned cruises. What’s the plan? Just pay everyone as though it’s business as usual? The economic distortion that would cause would be worse than letting the things go. Olive Garden will rise again!

      9:32 AM - 14 Mar 2020
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. David Orr‏ @orrdavid Mar 14
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          Replying to @Molson_Hart

          I don't know exactly. Going to keep thinking. General big thought is you just want to pause things until folks can go out like normal again, or at least normal recession capacity.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Mar 14
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          Replying to @orrdavid

          I will think as well. Up to now can’t figure it out.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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