This is my take on the economic effects of covid19. Why is it wrong? Let's tear this thing apart.pic.twitter.com/GEgE808jU0
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3) Solution 1. Hope mass testing works like it does in Korea and do a massive international coordination of mass testing in OECD countries while limiting travel between OECD and non-OECD. Snuff the virus out by June
Clever, I had not thought of that. Kind of like a coalition or trading bloc between certain countries. How do you stop liars? And there are so many. Also, even if Singapore-level contact tracing, people escape the net and spread.
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You can't. But you will always have solid data. If 1/15 end up hospitalized you'll know when the virus is gone if you're testing everyone with hospital symptoms...
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Small out breaks get caught quickly assuming 15% hospitalization in 3rd week and R0=2. From Patient 0 (the liar) around 30-50 infected at time of first hospitalization. With mass testing there's good probability it's sooner than that if people get tested for mild symptoms.
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