Lagarde is warning of a corona shock similar to the GFC, but the only thing this downturn has in common with the GFC is that share prices and oil are going down, and the economy rapidly slowing. In all other respects the analogy is entirely false.
Wait a second. The following industries are fucked: hotels, air travel, cruises, restaurants, events, event spaces, brick and mortar retail, and you’re saying that because they only have long-term debt they’re going to muddle through not having any revenues? Never mind their
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Suppliers, employees, and landlords? This is likely to go on for months. China is far from back online. It’s very hard for me to see how this does not have massive multiplicative ramifications.
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For months, yes they are all fucked. For months though, not years.
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