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Molson_Hart's profile
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
@Molson_Hart

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Molson Hart

@Molson_Hart

CEO at http://amazon.com/viahart . CEO at http://edisonlf.com . I tweet about business, e-commerce, supply chain, health, law, & infrastructure

Austin, TX
Joined July 2015

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    1. THE LONG VIEW  ⚫️‏ @HayekAndKeynes Feb 28
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      For everyone worried about coronavirus, I suggest you take a look at Thailand. They had almost 3 million tourists over the Chinese New Year. Cases initially spiked and then tapered off. Either containment or temperature worked to contain the virus. Total confirmed cases: 41

      201 replies 432 retweets 1,904 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Feb 28
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      Replying to @HayekAndKeynes

      Molson Hart Retweeted Molson Hart

      Disagree with how you interpreted the Thai data: https://twitter.com/molson_hart/status/1233580243232923649?s=21 …https://twitter.com/Molson_Hart/status/1233580243232923649 …

      Molson Hart added,

      Molson Hart @Molson_Hart
      Two very worrying datapoints on #COVID19 First, check out Thailand's "viral pneumonia" cases under investigation. If Thailand has this many cases, then we can throw out the reduced sunlight/heat transmission hypothesis. (h/t @orrdavid again - he's the coronavirus whisperer!) pic.twitter.com/f7TrXJ2hWr
      Show this thread
      5 replies 3 retweets 46 likes
    3. THE LONG VIEW  ⚫️‏ @HayekAndKeynes Feb 28
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      Regular flu causes ARDS too. It's not uncommon. I don't think it's fair to assume they are all coronavirus. Malaysia’s health ministry earlier said six out of the 22 confirmed cases are Malaysians, and only two of them caught the virus locally. Maybe their data is garbage too.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. David Orr‏ @orrdavid Feb 29
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      Replying to @HayekAndKeynes @Molson_Hart

      My wife is a nurse at BDMS.bk. They silently changed the hospital code to prevent panic. She thought cases were low for a long time, until she realized what was going on. Only once the problem got big enough did they say the real number.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. THE LONG VIEW  ⚫️‏ @HayekAndKeynes Feb 29
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      Replying to @orrdavid @Molson_Hart

      So she thinks it is spreading widely even today?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. David Orr‏ @orrdavid Feb 29
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      Replying to @HayekAndKeynes @Molson_Hart

      She isn't 100% sure yet. That viral pneumonia is very likely the real number, and it seems to be going exponential. We'll know one way or another soon, I guess.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. THE LONG VIEW  ⚫️‏ @HayekAndKeynes Feb 29
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      Replying to @orrdavid @Molson_Hart

      Seems to be a normal seasonal trend. Has she been there more than one year?pic.twitter.com/RFEzQUXBGQ

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Feb 29
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      Replying to @HayekAndKeynes @orrdavid

      That graph does not match up with the exponential one. The exponential one has like a 3k difference jan to feb. The historical one has a 250 case difference. Just will need to wait and see, imho.

      4:31 PM - 29 Feb 2020
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        1. THE LONG VIEW  ⚫️‏ @HayekAndKeynes Feb 29
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          Replying to @Molson_Hart @orrdavid

          That’s only one city. Did you even read the research? Last 3y in the data set have been ~800 month

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        2. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Feb 29
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          Replying to @HayekAndKeynes @orrdavid

          I missed that it was Chiang Mai only. I still don't think it matches up.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
          3. End of conversation

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