The debt you're seeing on these software cos must be personally guaranteed as they are basically without bankable collateral, right?
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Replying to @Molson_Hart @TaylorHoliday
No. Not debt from banks. It’s from SAAS lenders.
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Replying to @mgirdley @TaylorHoliday
What's non-personally guaranteed SAAS lender debt going for these days? I was kicking around the idea of taking out a big loan as an option in case markets really tank over the next 3-6 months.
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Replying to @Molson_Hart @TaylorHoliday
All over the place. Some I’ve seen are like this: Assuming recurring subscription revenue, most are like 10-12% with a minimum repayment multiple (like 1.2x loan amount). Will lend up to 6 months of MRR.
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Replying to @mgirdley @TaylorHoliday
I don't know enough about the space to make a call like this, but I expect those guys to get KILLED when/if our economy turns. Companies definitely cancel those recurring revenue subscriptions when times get tough. The chase for yield continues.
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Replying to @Molson_Hart @TaylorHoliday
I think you’re right and I think it depends on the business. It’s why
@dura_software only acquires products that are mission critical OR we think will be cycle-neutral.1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @mgirdley @Molson_Hart and
Looking at it in practice, at exit it seems the lenders always get their money back. Remember, debt gets paid before equity etc.
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Yeah, but...there's no liquidatable assets when these SAAS cos blow. Charlie Munger had some comments about how much he loves government software companies at the recent DJCO meeting. I haven't gotten to them yet, but you may also be interested.
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Replying to @Molson_Hart @mgirdley and
Is Dura's thesis basically boomer software cos where the owner is retiring?
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That’s part of it but there are tons of scenarios where people want out of a small software company like boredom, opportunity cost, health, etc.
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Yup. I call them the D's: Death, divorce, dispute, and my personal favorite: dumbass haha
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