You believe that enough to short?
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To see the negative potential of the coronavirus you need to understand some math: 1. The math of exponents. r0 = 2 mean: 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64 ... 4096 etc. 2. If there's a 99% chance of a full quarantine but you have 100 infections, you have a 64% chance that virus gets out.
Narrative will flip. First death in Japan and its pretty clear that they have a bunch of idiopathic infections.
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If you've ever been on a subway train in Tokyo, it is basically inconceivable that only 28 people are infected, but hey...
I guess they have an olympics to plan for. -
Ya, a major city with packed public transportation. Not good at all.
End of conversation
New conversation -
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