I feel like, so far, I've had a pretty good read on the coronavirus so let me make some predictions (please disagree where applicable!): 1. The disease is too infectious to be contained and it is too late. The British guy from Singapore shows that clearly.
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2. If a kid died of coronavirus we would've heard about it already. There are studies out there saying it that mostly kills old people. The youngest person I've heard die was hero Dr. Li Wenliang and the locals wanted that guy to die so I wouldn't take much from itpic.twitter.com/PSazTjhHh2
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3. The virus is going to come in waves in every country. It'll looked under control, then some clown will go to a new city and restart the epidemic. Just like Spanish flu. You can't ban travelers from every single country and that's basically what needs to be done at this point.
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4. The virus will go at very different speeds in different countries and the damage it does will be different. Countries like Indonesia won't have the money or expertise to keep their people alive, but they also don't have as many old people die.
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5. They also won't be able to lock down the country has so it'll spread like wildfire. India, Indonesia, Cambodia, all of Africa, parts of South America are like this. The other big determinant of speed of transmission will be density. Dense countries get to full infection faster
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Replying to @Molson_Hart
I am somewhat surprised India hasn't been hit really. There must be less travel between those two countries than I assumed.
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You can't test positive if you don't test!
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