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Molson_Hart's profile
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
@Molson_Hart

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Molson Hart

@Molson_Hart

CEO at http://amazon.com/viahart . CEO at http://edisonlf.com . I tweet about business, e-commerce, supply chain, health, law, & infrastructure

Austin, TX
Joined July 2015

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    1. Michael Girdley‏ @mgirdley Feb 4
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      If the apocalypse comes, I'll probably be that guy on my couch totally unprepared. As a GenX'er, my whole life has been "the world is ending" news stories. I (like many) am now numb. Examples: Killer Bees Ozone Hole Y2K Ice Ages SARS AIDS Bird Flu Ebola etc

      9 replies 0 retweets 14 likes
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    2. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Feb 4
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      Replying to @mgirdley

      I'm a millenial my life has been non-stop REAL SHIT. 9/11 The financial crisis Global warming Trump Coronavirus haha

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    3. Michael Girdley‏ @mgirdley Feb 4
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      I'm curious to see how the C-virus pans out per our previous discussions.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Feb 4
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      Replying to @mgirdley

      Me as well. Hold me accountable if I get this wrong, but I am increasingly confident that this virus is a worldwide pandemic. It's just going to take a while to get rolling. One person infects ~4 in dense Asia, but it takes like 7-10 days for that to happen.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    5. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Feb 4
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @mgirdley

      Let's say R0 = 3 in the United States and it takes 10 days. We have 11 patients now. It will take 2 months for us to get to 10,000 confirmed infections. I also see no end whatsoever to supply disruptions in Asia.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Michael Girdley‏ @mgirdley Feb 4
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      We'll see, I guess. Plenty of diseases with higher R0 than that didn't turn into global pandemics afaict.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Feb 4
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      Replying to @mgirdley

      Lot of people got sick on this one, but it had a low mortality rate so it didn't matter much. We'll see what happens with this one. World is denser and more connected than ever "It is estimated that 11–21% of the global population contracted [swine flu] and 151,700–575400 died."pic.twitter.com/T18hhi4v9P

      9:14 PM - 4 Feb 2020
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      • Michael Girdley
      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like

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