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Molson_Hart's profile
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
@Molson_Hart

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Molson Hart

@Molson_Hart

CEO at http://amazon.com/viahart . CEO at http://edisonlf.com . I tweet about business, e-commerce, supply chain, health, law, & infrastructure

Austin, TX
Joined July 2015

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    1. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Jan 24
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      Between income store, world wide real estate and this, it seems like many Pontus and frauds are coming to light these dayshttps://www.wsj.com/articles/owners-of-solar-company-that-swindled-berkshire-hathaway-admit-to-running-ponzi-scheme-11579907951 …

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    2. David Orr‏ @orrdavid Jan 25
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      Many public solar companies are ponzi schemes. It seems so obvious. I reviewed Sunnova $NOVA again last night. They show op cash flow trending up in the latest investor presentation. But compared to cash flows or the $1.1 billion debt, that's just a rounding error.pic.twitter.com/Iz9NCL1X81

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    3. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Jan 25
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      Replying to @orrdavid

      It’s too bad shorting is so dangerous. I don’t know if it’s my personality or the times we live in but I see shorts everywhere.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. David Orr‏ @orrdavid Jan 25
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      Shorting is definitely dangerous. The trick is very small position size. Even with bad squeeze outcomes I just lose a few percent. Annoying but not an existential threat. Late stage bull market + perpetual low rates lead to a great short climate.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart Jan 25
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      Replying to @orrdavid

      You never do it with options?

      8:31 AM - 25 Jan 2020
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        1. David Orr‏ @orrdavid Jan 25
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          Replying to @Molson_Hart

          It depends on the price. Options are priced based on perceived future volatility, which is its own market. For example, long dated puts for $BBBY pay 5:1 when I'm right. But for $VAL (offshore oil co) I only get 2x.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        2. David Orr‏ @orrdavid Jan 25
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          Replying to @orrdavid @Molson_Hart

          (So for $BBBY I bought the puts. For $VAL I sold some calls.)

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
          3. End of conversation

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