The internet has both created and destroyed vast profit pools for B2C businesses. Mattresses are a solid case study: the industry has been squeezed by a) price transparency & b) lowered barriers to entry. Tuft & Needle was founded in ‘12, w/ $6k and grew to $100M w/ no VC funding
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At the time, Bed-in-a-Box (BiB) or vacuum sealed foam mattress were a new concept. Google AdWords enabled low-cost customer acquisition, gross margins were >50%, customers funded working capital, the businesses were cash-flow positive shortly thereafter. This invited competition.
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Meanwhile, vertically integrated mattress retailers that controlled production and distribution began to experience pricing pressure on their lower-end products. The sub-$1k mattress category was permanently impaired.
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$TPX$MFRM$SSB felt the impact. Purchasing a mattress in-store was a terrible customer experience. SKUs were different across all stores. Prices were never comparable. It was a back and forth negotiation. Now with a click of a button your mattress arrived at your door.1 reply 2 retweets 58 likesShow this thread -
$MFRM filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy.$SSB is distressed.$TPX hasn’t grown EBITDA since ‘16. But, consumer surplus is now captured with cheaper entry level mattresses, and the future profit pools are being created by truly tech enabled solutions (e.g. http://eightsleep.com )2 replies 6 retweets 107 likesShow this thread -
So while we debate the merits of
$CSPR and its peers. The reality is that they provide a strong customer value proposition, but its more difficult to say if they will ever capture the value that they destroyed for the incumbents20 replies 13 retweets 198 likesShow this thread
Id add c) whole transfer pricing to the causes of margin compression and deterioration of the business. There are companies making money selling mattresses, but their names are Facebook, amazon, and google.
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