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Molson_Hart's profile
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
@Molson_Hart

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Molson Hart

@Molson_Hart

CEO at http://amazon.com/viahart . CEO at http://edisonlf.com . I tweet about business, e-commerce, supply chain, health, law, & infrastructure

Austin, TX
Joined July 2015

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    1. Ian Bezek‏ @irbezek 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @deancollins @orrdavid

      $WPG doesn't have "high end malls". It has a few nicer open-air (outdoor) shopping centers along with its decaying B-tier enclosed malls. WPG's sales per sq ft for its malls are on par with $CBL around $400. Same biz, same NOI decline rate.

      1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes
    2. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @irbezek @deancollins @orrdavid

      When I was on their website every mall on their site was trash, fwiw

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    3. David Orr‏ @orrdavid 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @irbezek @deancollins

      It's crazy how few investors even look at what they're invested in.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    4. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @orrdavid @irbezek @deancollins

      Is that for real? Like people don’t look at the malls? They just look at the numbers? Financial statements put me to sleep.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. David Orr‏ @orrdavid 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @irbezek @deancollins

      Both are important, the hard part is qualitative. Computers already keep quant stuff reasonably in check. Most people just see a dividend yield, I think. Some guys focus entirely on story which is a trap, too. But the financial side should only take a 15 minutes.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @orrdavid @irbezek @deancollins

      In your opinion if I spend 2 hours contemplating a stock’s qualitative comparative advantages, how much time do I need to spend looking at the financial@minutia to do an equally good job at that in a way that allows me to make a purchase?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. David Orr‏ @orrdavid 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @irbezek @deancollins

      You just have to understand that the company is within a reasonable ballpark of true value. For example, a company trading at 70 times its earnings that's almost impossible. Lots of companies just don't make money. Understanding how the biz compounds value is most important.

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    8. David Orr‏ @orrdavid 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @orrdavid @Molson_Hart and

      Most investing is really just sorting through a ridiculous number of ideas until you find something you understand, and that seems obvious. It's pretty hard for me to take anyone seriously that does detailed financial modeling. What a joke.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    9. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @orrdavid @irbezek @deancollins

      Right, but what I mean is don’t you really need to understand their balance sheet, reading all the crap@in the 10k? I have no appetite for that. I just want to analyze the biz model and then look at price and earnings and maybe quickly debt and gtfo

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. David Orr‏ @orrdavid 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @irbezek @deancollins

      Reading annual reports is pretty much the name of the game. It doesn't take very long to skim one with practice. After you pick a stock, you have to read filings and call transcripts, though. I don't think stock picking is worth it part time. Knowedge payoff is exponentially.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @orrdavid @irbezek @deancollins

      Thanks. Maybe I’ll try it again some day.

      4:57 PM - 5 Dec 2019
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      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        2. David Orr‏ @orrdavid 5 Dec 2019
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          Replying to @Molson_Hart @irbezek @deancollins

          If so, just listen to the greats. The key thing is to ignore everyone with a bad track record. Tons of charlatans. Best track records for long stock picking: Joel Greenblatt Peter Lynch Warren Buffett You'd do well listening to only them.

          2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 5 Dec 2019
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          Replying to @orrdavid @irbezek @deancollins

          I listen but I never buy stocks, just try to apply the principles to what I operate.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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