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Replying to @orrdavid
I thought the death of retail was going to come much faster than it has. Might be fun to list all the companies that are structurally (in terms of biz model, I don’t know their debt levels) fucked. Afaict anything that is not: 1. Driving massive volume 2. Low low low price
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Replying to @Molson_Hart
A subtle thing is that after one goes under their customers start go to another store. Which is awesome because I get to short them one after another.
$CBL just had to cut their dividend - crappy quality malls. Next up on the chopping block:$WPG, the next crappiest one!1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @orrdavid
Is there a good way within twitter to know what these acronyms stand for? I have to google each one and on my phone it’s a pia
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Replying to @Molson_Hart @orrdavid
Question for you: I see shorts everywhere and Longs nowhere. Is it just a unique time in our economy or is it my nature? Too bad it’s so much riskier than going long :(
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Replying to @Molson_Hart
Even though I mostly talk about shorts, I'm actually long 150%. Stuff I understand like Google, insurance companies, banks, home builders, airports. Whatever seems cheap. There isn't too much to say about a bank predictably making 12% a year, though.
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Replying to @orrdavid
I don’t know anything about most of those and This remind a me of a Carl Icahn quote about Bill Ackman: “He knows more about everything than I know about anything”
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Replying to @Molson_Hart
My edge should come from the short side, and the leverage it allows me to add on the long side. Most of my effort goes there and it shows. My long picks are only in line with the market before leverage. I've mulled over partnering with a value investor later on.
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Replying to @orrdavid
Though I’m not sure this is true in this period of easy money, for most shorts there is a long. Too bad in retail it’s the same name over and over.
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Replying to @Molson_Hart
Example: If you're short 20% volatile oil stocks and a missile hits Saudi Arabia oil production, you're exposed to too much risk. But if you have 15% safer oil stocks, it should work out okay. For retail I didn't want to go long anything so I'm just short 5% Bed Bath.
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So long as you know a single hot product can juice bbb earnings as much as an Iranian drone can jack up the price of oil, go for it.
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