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Molson_Hart's profile
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
@Molson_Hart

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Molson Hart

@Molson_Hart

CEO at http://amazon.com/viahart . CEO at http://edisonlf.com . I tweet about business, e-commerce, supply chain, health, law, & infrastructure

Austin, TX
Joined July 2015

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    1. David Orr‏ @orrdavid 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      Thanks for the input. Despite not being into stock investing, you've got really great insights.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    2. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @orrdavid

      Thanks. This overlaps quite a bit with an area that im supposed to know (retail and sewing) so it’s easy to sound wise/smart on the topic. Talk to me about something else you’ll quickly take back your statement...maybe haha

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    3. David Orr‏ @orrdavid 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      Hah, awesome. Glad we see eye to eye on $BBBY and $EXPR. The short thesis seems simple/good for both. Hard to say when the market wakes up but that saying is often true: Stocks take the stairs up and elevators down. Spread your bets enough and the variance is fine.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @orrdavid

      I thought the death of retail was going to come much faster than it has. Might be fun to list all the companies that are structurally (in terms of biz model, I don’t know their debt levels) fucked. Afaict anything that is not: 1. Driving massive volume 2. Low low low price

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    5. David Orr‏ @orrdavid 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      A subtle thing is that after one goes under their customers start go to another store. Which is awesome because I get to short them one after another. $CBL just had to cut their dividend - crappy quality malls. Next up on the chopping block: $WPG, the next crappiest one!

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @orrdavid

      Is there a good way within twitter to know what these acronyms stand for? I have to google each one and on my phone it’s a pia

      3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart @orrdavid

      Question for you: I see shorts everywhere and Longs nowhere. Is it just a unique time in our economy or is it my nature? Too bad it’s so much riskier than going long :(

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. David Orr‏ @orrdavid 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      Even though I mostly talk about shorts, I'm actually long 150%. Stuff I understand like Google, insurance companies, banks, home builders, airports. Whatever seems cheap. There isn't too much to say about a bank predictably making 12% a year, though.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    9. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @orrdavid

      I don’t know anything about most of those and This remind a me of a Carl Icahn quote about Bill Ackman: “He knows more about everything than I know about anything”

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. David Orr‏ @orrdavid 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      My edge should come from the short side, and the leverage it allows me to add on the long side. Most of my effort goes there and it shows. My long picks are only in line with the market before leverage. I've mulled over partnering with a value investor later on.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 5 Dec 2019
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      Replying to @orrdavid

      Though I’m not sure this is true in this period of easy money, for most shorts there is a long. Too bad in retail it’s the same name over and over.

      5:07 AM - 5 Dec 2019
      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. David Orr‏ @orrdavid 5 Dec 2019
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          Replying to @Molson_Hart

          Example: If you're short 20% volatile oil stocks and a missile hits Saudi Arabia oil production, you're exposed to too much risk. But if you have 15% safer oil stocks, it should work out okay. For retail I didn't want to go long anything so I'm just short 5% Bed Bath.

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 5 Dec 2019
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          Replying to @orrdavid

          So long as you know a single hot product can juice bbb earnings as much as an Iranian drone can jack up the price of oil, go for it.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation
        1. David Orr‏ @orrdavid 5 Dec 2019
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          Replying to @Molson_Hart

          The reason I got into short selling is I wanted to be able to add leverage on the long side. I don't really mind the sector variance except for oil - there are so many great oil shorts that I wanted to have more. The key is not having more than, say, 5-10% short a single sector

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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