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If you're right, this could make index investing even more attractive vs long-only stockpicking, and shortsellers could get more potential targets. But markets may price in winner-take-all dynamics to compensate.
Depends on what your goals are (get rich vs super rich), but I agree with you. What happens if those companies stop going public? Could FAAG (imho Netflix doesn't belong on this list) be where they are as private companies?
If, theoretically, all the winners stayed private, they are still going to eat the losers' lunch in the real world, and public market returns would decline. Doubt that would happen though... too many advantages to being public.
The silicon valley ecosystem/model is built on IPO at the end but how does money raised by Amazon, Google, or Facebook compare to the private money raising Giants like WeWoek or Uber? Comparable amounts of money?
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