This is a good article on the Marchetti Constant, which states people have always been willing to commute about 30 minutes each way to work. City growth and quality of life are constrained by this principle. 1/8https://www.citylab.com/transportation/2019/08/commute-time-city-size-transportation-urban-planning-history/597055/ …
I hate driving and love rapid transit and dense walkable cities. With that said, your analysis relies on the assumption that the downtown urban core as a place where everyone commutes to work will continue to exist as we know it. Telecommuting growth is probably s-curved.pic.twitter.com/Jvi64pI5zX
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Not even telecommuting. in Houston jobs have spread out. Companies not necessarily wanting to be in the “urban core”. See Exxon woodlands or multiple companies in energy corridor. Dense walkable communities can not be obtained and instead Houston is littered w sprawl/parking lots
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