I lived in the region for 30+ years. I know what each country has to offer. There will be no efficiency. Just to prove a point, Asean has also outsouced to China.
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SEA's supply chain is getting better every year. Yes, most of the products made in SEA today include significant imported subcomponents from China, but it gets less and less every year. At the same time, China's workers are fewer, older, and relatively more expensive.
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Dude, they are sending intermediates to China to be assembled. Which part of outsourcing to China did you not understand?? Assembly in general (in Malaysia and Thailand) are not that cheap and Indonesia just doesn't have the infra. Lets not talk abt SG.
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Replying to @Wolf_InTheWilds @Molson_Hart and
Vietnam has already hit capacity while Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar are so backward they can only take low cost high labour industries in small doses.
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India, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Indonesia - what is that? almost 2 billion people? It's a big region and while the infrastructure is worse than China's it's workable.
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Indonesia is a Chain of Islands. Do you know how bad the logistics will be?? How do you get scale when effectively each island is isolated from the others? As for India, the system there does not promote efficacy. Just look at the pace of infra development.
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Did you know that water is by far the most efficient way to move goods? I guess not, because you think that manufacturing is moving to central Asia.
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Do you know what is the most efficient way to move supply chain goods? ROAD. RAIL. Cost of port infrastructure is way higher. And scale matters. Shipping goods inter-island is not shipping goods on container ships. Do you know anything abt shipping?
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Replying to @Wolf_InTheWilds @Molson_Hart and
Imagine building a deep water port AND a shallow water port on each of the major islands in Indonesia, then the roads from said ports to factories , and individual island power infrastructure. In China, parts made in the north can be moved to the south in 2days.
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Replying to @Wolf_InTheWilds @Molson_Hart and
Try a week or more in Indonesia to move from Sumatra to Sulawesi
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I don't have to imagine because it already exists. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_busiest_container_ports … Indonesia's second largest port moved as many containers as Seattle/Tacoma Indonesia's 3rd largest city's port and off java.pic.twitter.com/cDPdIa9jGE
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