Just take a look at a desktop or laptop. Apple moved the new Mac Pro manufacturing to China. Why? The same answer applies to almost all industries: supply chain, logistics, scale. At the end of the day, you can try to move assembly to countries like Thailand and M'sia but
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Replying to @Wolf_InTheWilds @Molson_Hart and
The bulk of intermediate goods will be shipped from China. Why? Because bulk of non-US bound goods will still be made there (cost efficiency). Indonesia is the only country in Asean that has the population but it has NO infrastructure.
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Replying to @Wolf_InTheWilds @Molson_Hart and
I lived in the region for 30+ years. I know what each country has to offer. There will be no efficiency. Just to prove a point, Asean has also outsouced to China.
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SEA's supply chain is getting better every year. Yes, most of the products made in SEA today include significant imported subcomponents from China, but it gets less and less every year. At the same time, China's workers are fewer, older, and relatively more expensive.
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Dude, they are sending intermediates to China to be assembled. Which part of outsourcing to China did you not understand?? Assembly in general (in Malaysia and Thailand) are not that cheap and Indonesia just doesn't have the infra. Lets not talk abt SG.
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Replying to @Wolf_InTheWilds @Molson_Hart and
Vietnam has already hit capacity while Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar are so backward they can only take low cost high labour industries in small doses.
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India, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Indonesia - what is that? almost 2 billion people? It's a big region and while the infrastructure is worse than China's it's workable.
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Indonesia is a Chain of Islands. Do you know how bad the logistics will be?? How do you get scale when effectively each island is isolated from the others? As for India, the system there does not promote efficacy. Just look at the pace of infra development.
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Did you know that water is by far the most efficient way to move goods? I guess not, because you think that manufacturing is moving to central Asia.
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Do you know what is the most efficient way to move supply chain goods? ROAD. RAIL. Cost of port infrastructure is way higher. And scale matters. Shipping goods inter-island is not shipping goods on container ships. Do you know anything abt shipping?
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You are totally wrong. You have it backwards. By TEU cost goes like this: Truck > Rail > Boat And you're wrong again. Inter-island is shipping goods via containers.pic.twitter.com/v1sh6QgS4z
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I was referring to the megacontainers. These are coastal and small. Hence shallow water ports. Remember, efficacy not just cost. Speed matters. Shipping is the slowest of all modes of logistics.
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