You're the only founder-CEO I know who respects studies like this. Most seem to prefer anecdotes from friends/colleagues, books by practitioners, and their own experience. Not sure what to make of this, assuming I'm right.
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Agree with your last tweet. However, I will happily take the other side of this bet if the CEO has had his own money at risk for more than 5 years (not to be confused with someone who has risen through ranks at fortune 500 company). "PhD in statistics over a grizzled CEO"
; accumulated, live-fire-with-consequences experience is under-valued and thus under-utilized in part because of the overconfidence problem. The best managers crave outside input while still relying on their specific facility for subject-matter decision & policy making.As a separate point, "I genuinely hope you succeed beyond your wildest dreams" assumes I have not already 
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Yup, math major. Haha. Been vivisectin' since '09
End of conversation
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