8/ It is from '89, like I said above, the fall of the Berlin wall, etc. Seminal Yugo events around that time include exporting the (Zastava) Yugo to the US (!), Red Star Belgrade winning what is now the Champions League, and the bball team w world+euro golds (Divac Kukoc Petrovic
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9/ Inside of three years from these "peak performance" and "peak unity" moments, you had full-scale genocide going on https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yugoslav_Wars …
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10/ I had thee ~close Bosnian friends (one Serb, one Croat and one Muslim) for whom it took years to be reunited with their families
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11/ It is still "real"- from landmines to ethnically cleansed areas to mass grave ID to children born of wartime rapes coming of age to radicalization to football hooligan chants (be it srbe na vrbe "hang the Serb on the willow tree" or noz zitsa srebrenica "knife/wire/Srebrenica
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12/ Going through something like that even remotely is why "low trust" is the standard operating mode for so many places to the detriment of human progress
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Replying to @BarbarianCap
Do you think it could happen in the United States within our lifetimes?
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Replying to @Molson_Hart
I don't know- in aggregate, DJT is not a good sign nor is what is observable here a good sign https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2015/07/08/us/census-race-map.html …
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Replying to @BarbarianCap
On the other hand, interracial marriages are rising. Clannishness is peoples' default behavior, but I wonder if cities with high domestic migration are as segregated as New York City looks on that map. NYC has a lot of international migration, which lends itself to segregation.pic.twitter.com/f6Nj4Mi3bZ
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Replying to @Molson_Hart @BarbarianCap
It's kind of hard to say because of how dense New York is on the map. When you look at cities like Austin or Raleigh...there are hardly any dots on the map. Makes it hard to get a sense of the segregation by race.pic.twitter.com/O77nchLc5v
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Replying to @Molson_Hart
you can find pro and con arguments. The secondary point of the thread is that your model of the world can turn upside down in no time regardless of what you think.
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Agreed, totally unpredictable. I don't want to overextrapolate from trends, but Europe has been doing that type of thing to itself for all of history, whereas Canada, United States, and Australia have not. I think this partially explains the latter's superior equity returns.
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