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Molson_Hart's profile
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
@Molson_Hart

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Molson Hart

@Molson_Hart

CEO at http://amazon.com/viahart . CEO at http://edisonlf.com . I tweet about business, e-commerce, supply chain, health, law, & infrastructure

Austin, TX
Joined July 2015

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    1. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 26 May 2019
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      There are also chain restaurants that do well, though it's worth mentioning they're both tough industries. Yes, they have a scale advantage and a brand advantage, but they're much weaker than claimed. Their tech advantage is almost non-existent. /end

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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    2. Sandy Kory‏ @sandykory 26 May 2019
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      Thanks for your thoughtful response! I think the big delta in our views is value of scale. I posit it's the most defensible source of moat+manifests in many advantages WW can enjoy. Some smart folks will agree w/me on scale and some like you will disagree. Time will tell. :)

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 26 May 2019
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      Replying to @sandykory

      Man, if that's your final response, I'm calling it a cop-out. If you can't explain why scale is going to deliver returns, it ain't!

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Sandy Kory‏ @sandykory 26 May 2019
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      it's more of a Quora-length response (and my 3 year old needs to go to the park...) but here are some thoughts:

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    5. Sandy Kory‏ @sandykory 26 May 2019
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      Replying to @sandykory @Molson_Hart

      Massive brand advantage. They can pay much less for a Google PPC than peers. Big CAC advantage. Scale gives them leverage over suppliers which means better lease terms (many layers here but don't have time or expertise to give the dissertation this one deserves).

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Sandy Kory‏ @sandykory 26 May 2019
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      Replying to @sandykory @Molson_Hart

      Their scale (and growth) also gives them an advantage in much lower capital vs peers. Scale (and actually understanding how to develop software) give them massive edge in technology. This is the point I've most avoided b/c it's nuanced...

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Sandy Kory‏ @sandykory 26 May 2019
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      Replying to @sandykory @Molson_Hart

      If there's one lesson from the past 20 years of tech it's the compounding value of writing good software. Paul Graham and many others have done it better than I can ever. My favorite example is Mailchimp...

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Sandy Kory‏ @sandykory 26 May 2019
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      Replying to @sandykory @Molson_Hart

      Mailchimp has never had any radical tech, just good software that's gotten a little better every few months for 15 or so years. https://techcrunch.com/2019/05/13/mailchimps-ben-chestnut-on-bootstrapping-a-startup-to-700m-in-revenue/ …

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Sandy Kory‏ @sandykory 26 May 2019
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      Replying to @sandykory @Molson_Hart

      WeWork in process of building huge tech advantage. They have best engineers among their peers by far. They're also working w/best startups in the space and they can either buy or become a massive customer (for those startups; beware of becoming captive to a customer like WW!)

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Sandy Kory‏ @sandykory 26 May 2019
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      Replying to @sandykory @Molson_Hart

      There's huge surface area for them to attack in terms of better software to improve tenant/guest experience + drive down their costs. They are in 1st inning of that process. Why only the 1st? Because they haven't had to rush on that front given their peers are so inept at tech.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 26 May 2019
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      Replying to @sandykory

      Thanks for the response. I'll let you get to the park. - I doubt WeWork can meaningfully negotiate lower PPC from google. And if they could, it's not important enough to matter. - I don't see big returns to technology in their space at all.

      11:08 AM - 26 May 2019
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Barbarian Capital‏ @BarbarianCap 26 May 2019
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          Replying to @Molson_Hart @sandykory

          Thanks again. Agree w MH: WW buys wholesale, sells retail (w a massive asset-liability mismatch). I do not see how they can buy cheaper or sell more dear. Overhead, marketing, sales? maybe. If it was such a great model, they'd be making money AND the guy would not be buying bldgs

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 26 May 2019
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          Replying to @BarbarianCap @sandykory

          Yikes, did not know that the CEO was personally buying buildings and then leasing them back to the company he's running. Gross. https://www.wsj.com/articles/weworks-ceo-makes-millions-as-landlord-to-wework-11547640000 …

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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