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Molson_Hart's profile
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
Molson Hart
@Molson_Hart

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Molson Hart

@Molson_Hart

CEO at http://amazon.com/viahart . CEO at http://edisonlf.com . I tweet about business, e-commerce, supply chain, health, law, & infrastructure

Austin, TX
Joined July 2015

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    1. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 26 May 2019
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      A lot of people on (in?) Fintwit are making fun of this guy @sandykory for not shitting on @WeWork. But he makes some good points. He's just wrong about demand rising in a weak economy. I've highlighted in green what's right, in yellow what's unknown, in red what's wrong.pic.twitter.com/NciYRoJ51Q

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    2. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 26 May 2019
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      WeWork's problem is not its business model. The problems are: - Its totally absurd expectation setting. It's not a tech company and while it has some competitive advantages, they're nothing like their valuation - Bullshit accounting metrics like "community adjusted EBITDA"

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    3. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 26 May 2019
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      - Its management, which does things like buy a Basque wavepool company (wtf) https://www.wsj.com/articles/wework-takes-a-dip-in-the-wave-pool-business-1510765780 … - As @BarbarianCap pointed out, they have a liability mismatch. They take on long-term liabilities and create short-term liabilities.

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    4. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 26 May 2019
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      In downturns, they're on the hook for their long-term leases, but their customers (mostly) are not. I write "mostly" because weworks contracts are full of trick clauses that make it difficult to leave without fines/punishment. WeWork has two main types of clients.

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    5. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 26 May 2019
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      1. Larger businesses 2. Small-time entrepreneurs In downturns, larger businesses are still on the hook for their long-term leases, so, despite what @sandykory says, it's not easy for them to just jump into a wework.

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    6. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 26 May 2019
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      Small-time entrepreneurs, when their revenues fall in a downturn, just start working at home. So, no, @WeWork's revenues will not rise in a downturn. For whatever it's worth, I feel knowledgeable about this topic because:

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    7. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 26 May 2019
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      - I have a small business - I have worked at WeWork - I have worked at other coworking spaces (cheaper than wework!) - And I've worked at home when I felt like I was spending too much money coworking (a myopic decision actually - coworking is good for social life)

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    8. Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 26 May 2019
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      Molson Hart Retweeted Sandy Kory

      /end And counterpoints, which I have yet to read:https://twitter.com/sandykory/status/1132684117202546688 …

      Molson Hart added,

      Sandy Kory @sandykory
      Thanks @Molson_Hart for sharing your perspective! Very sharp insights. I’m going to respond to some of your comments and some others on my WW tweet in this thread. Some follow up comments on: -valuation -wacky CEO behavior -relative market power -tech impact on CRE (1/n) https://twitter.com/Molson_Hart/status/1132677861180096512 …
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    9. Sandy Kory‏ @sandykory 26 May 2019
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      Replying to @Molson_Hart

      please let me know your thoughts on my counterpoints (which I realize only partially address your points but hopefully provide useful high-level context on my perspective)

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      Molson Hart‏ @Molson_Hart 26 May 2019
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      Replying to @sandykory

      Done!

      10:37 AM - 26 May 2019
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

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