Here's a litmus test of what the US trade war with China has achieved. China tariffs on US cars are only 40% because of the trade war. In July, China cut auto import tariffs from 25% to 15%. Except for on US-made cars: it raised tariffs on them to 40% as retaliation. So... (1/)https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1069441198157455360 …
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... when Trump says China has agreed to reduce tariffs, is it just that China bring them down to the 15% level that already applies to all other countries? And what does China get? Its demand has been US must remove all tariffs implemented this year for it to make that cut. (2/)
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Hence the litmus test. If China cuts car tariffs, without demanding that US end its tariffs, we can conclude Xi has buckled. But if US cancels its tariffs at the same time, it'll sure look like past six months of tit-for-tat battle have just brought us back to square one. (3/3)
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Realistically, how big of a deal are car tariffs for the us anyways? If china eliminated all tariffs on us made cars it's unclear to me how many more we'd export. We're not South Korea or Japan and the Ford f-150 doesn't seem like it'd be a big hit in super dense china.
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