Molson Hart

the divisions in society are not in the armed forces and has deftly handled situations including the intransigence of Meles' old group who have gone back to their province. Eventually he will need to demonstrate a command of a unified armed force at which point his 4/

Meles was very smart but was part a hegemonic junta of a small group that owned most assets corruptly. Abiy has now taken over (different tribe) and is instituting complete transparency as a leader for all. Ethiopia has never known but hegemony so the 4-5 major groups 2/

It is a critical time as he is overseeing Ethiopia's first transition to genuine democracy. Abiy has shown himself very progressive inviting back all political parties and peace regionally. There is a bit of friction w groups finding voice, but not a distraction to daily life 1/

Are testing their power and Abiy has several horses to keep reined in and no small challenge. I think in several months to a year a natural balance of power will arise between factions leading to Ethiopia's first genuine elections in 2 years. Abiy imo is slowly making 3/

Authority will no longer be questioned. Abiy is quite brilliant, progressive, fast moving but has that to complete before he is out of the woods. Until then, by Ethiopian standards, security is subpar for natives in some parts, but the population wants peace. End.