Life is an optimization problem. And like an optimization problem, you maximize, most likely, at the extremes i.e. 0,0 or 0, infinity, or -infinity, -infinity.
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But as soon as you "make" one of those long shots you go 0/100% right? I think that Talebs investments are the exception, not the rule. Trades in life don't disappear so fast under the pressures of arbitrage. When you find a good one, pour money, time, and soul into it.
I feel like the barbell isn't the best analogy. Success is all about making varied small downside big upside microbets. When one hits you double down and then specialize, until you find another bigger one.
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Sounds like a fractal to me :)
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