Your prior probability that my next tweet would be this exact sentence was probably somewhere around 10^-30.
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The space of potential tweets over which the prior is distributed should be the reference class, not the actual length.
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Short tweets are more likely than long tweets. You can tell because there are many more possible short tweets than possible long tweets, but among actual tweets, short tweets are still common.
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I think you got something the wrong way around.
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Oops, yes. Many more possible long tweets than possible short tweets.
End of conversation
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