the thing that bothers me about things like that pickle interview is, there's like zero chance the jar WASN'T pre-opened
Haha! Nice rant. But "98% chance Trump wins" -@ScottAdamsSays. I'm betting Oracle Adams is right on this one.
-
-
I was playing the part of the producer. *i'd* put the odds trump wins at about 3:1
@ScottAdamsSays -
"3:1 Trump" as in you think "75% chance Trump is next POTUS"? I'd be willing to bet against you.
-
Of course, most prediction markets are offering way better odds to you than that.
-
indeed, I'm looking forward to how it turns out. they're offering about 3:1 Hillary right now @TheJustinWade
@ScottAdamsSays -
there's precedent to my prediction though: http://betdata.io/eu-referendum they don't seem to work for this @TheJustinWade
@ScottAdamsSays -
tl;dr, betting markets can't & don't adjust for the Majority Illusion but anonymous votes mostly do @TheJustinWade
@ScottAdamsSays
End of conversation
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.