Iraqi politics watcher 
All views are my own. Love jiggs dinner and masgouf. Petter of dogs/birbs. EN/FN/DE, و ببطء عربي. Usual caveats apply.
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Important insights from Iraq. Some in DC convinced the arrest was a success. But any act w/out a coherent strategy to mitigates risks - short/long term - and work w/ domestic allies, can backfire, sometimes violently. It's not progress. This arrest is not as convincing to Iraqis. https://twitter.com/Observer46664/status/1402706412036317187 …
The only reason it didn't backfire violently is because folks like Ameri/Maliki were much quicker to convince others to negotiate w/ Kadhimi behind closed doors, which overall just shows the networks are strong. If there was violence, negotiations failed. For now, status quo.
Violent backlash isn't just day after. Some argue Hisham's assassination was a message to the PM after Albu Aitha. Attacks on INIS are also messages. It's easy to advocate riskier approaches, but lives are on the line. And without strategy, the approaches won't work anyway.
Fully agree.
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