If you're wired to update your beliefs in an irrationally small number of irrationally large jumps, making the jumps smaller may hurt you.
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Let's say you get 10 pieces of info, each of which justifies an update of 1 bit.
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Replying to @MemberOfSpecies @gabrielduquette
But let's say humans are wired to do nothing half the time and update 2 bits the other half the time.
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Replying to @MemberOfSpecies @gabrielduquette
Then if you fix the bug where humans sometimes update too much, they'll update too little on average.
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Replying to @MemberOfSpecies @gabrielduquette
And if you fix the bug where humans sometimes don't update at all, they'll update too much on average.
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Replying to @MemberOfSpecies @gabrielduquette
Unless you fix both. Then everything is great.
9:14 PM - 19 Nov 2016
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