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MemberOfSpecies's profile
Member Of Species
Member Of Species
Member Of Species
@MemberOfSpecies

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Member Of Species

@MemberOfSpecies

WTF, THIS.

weird.solar
Joined March 2014

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    1. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 3 Mar 2015
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      I almost tweeted this last night, but @sama putting AI on a list of failed predictions seems not-even-wrong to me. http://blog.samaltman.com/technology-predictions …

      2 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
    2. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 3 Mar 2015
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @vgr

      When people said things like "heaver than air flight is impossible" that was negation of a well-posed, falsifiable proposition.

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    3. Venkatesh Rao‏ @vgr 3 Mar 2015
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @vgr

      So treating anti-Scary-AI positions as equivalent to denying heavier-than-air flight is a category error. You can't negate an ill-posed idea

      3 replies 2 retweets 1 like
    4. Member Of Species‏ @MemberOfSpecies 6 Mar 2015
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      Replying to @vgr

      @vgr Lots of ways to cash out "superhuman AI is impossible" to real predictions, e.g. rate of science/tech research performed by future AIs.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Member Of Species‏ @MemberOfSpecies 6 Mar 2015
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      Replying to @MemberOfSpecies

      @vgr The real problem with Altman's list is predictions have sometimes been too optimistic and sometimes been too pessimistic.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Member Of Species‏ @MemberOfSpecies 6 Mar 2015
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      @vgr Doomsday cults not the right reference class; superhuman AI has plausible mechanisms by which it could happen in a natural universe.

      1:21 PM - 6 Mar 2015
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