I almost tweeted this last night, but @sama putting AI on a list of failed predictions seems not-even-wrong to me. http://blog.samaltman.com/technology-predictions …
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@vgr Lots of ways to cash out "superhuman AI is impossible" to real predictions, e.g. rate of science/tech research performed by future AIs.
@vgr The real problem with Altman's list is predictions have sometimes been too optimistic and sometimes been too pessimistic.
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@vgr Doomsday cults not the right reference class; superhuman AI has plausible mechanisms by which it could happen in a natural universe.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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