Member Of Species

@St_Rev @A_P_Mason @asilentsky nice summary of singularitarianism as religion.

@Meaningness @A_P_Mason @asilentsky For what it's worth, Yudkowsky has disclaimed ∞×ε type arguments in his exchanges with Holden Karnofsky.

@Meaningness @A_P_Mason @asilentsky Maybe one can argue singularitarianism requires ∞×ε arguments, but it's not the line that's being taken.

@Meaningness @A_P_Mason @asilentsky Rather, it's supposed to be U×P with U a huge number and P maybe smallish but not super small.

@MemberOfSpecies Hmm, not sure it was clear I was using “∞” as shorthand for “very large, unspecified, finite number.”

@MemberOfSpecies If that *was* clear, I’m not sure how what I attributed to singularitarianism differs from the actual argument.

@Meaningness The difference is in the ε, which I take to refer only to probabilities so small they make max-EU heuristics problematic.

@MemberOfSpecies The problem is more that U and P are both so uncertain that UxP could be anything; was subject of y aborted LW sequence.