@St_Rev @asilentsky geez i don’t know? my understanding of mwi is scientific american level only
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@MemberOfSpecies If that *was* clear, I’m not sure how what I attributed to singularitarianism differs from the actual argument.
@Meaningness The difference is in the ε, which I take to refer only to probabilities so small they make max-EU heuristics problematic.
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@MemberOfSpecies The problem is more that U and P are both so uncertain that UxP could be anything; was subject of y aborted LW sequence. -
@Meaningness The P is very hard to give precisely justified estimates for, but it can be constrained somewhat with informal arguments. - 2 more replies
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@Meaningness "It's a really good idea for humanity to spend $10M to avert 0.1% of a 50% extinction risk" isn't Pascal's Wager or religion. -
@MemberOfSpecies Right, agreed! I didn’t mean to suggest that, and apologize if my condensed statement was confusing.
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