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MemberOfSpecies's profile
Member Of Species
Member Of Species
Member Of Species
@MemberOfSpecies

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Member Of Species

@MemberOfSpecies

WTF, THIS.

weird.solar
Joined March 2014

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    1. Member Of Species‏ @MemberOfSpecies 11 Aug 2014
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      IPCC doesn't state a best estimate for ECS but it looks like their projections are based on models with mean ECS 3.22K.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. Member Of Species‏ @MemberOfSpecies 11 Aug 2014
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      Replying to @MemberOfSpecies

      If you eyeball Figure 8 from the paper it looks like maybe 3/4 of polled scientists would estimate lower than that, 1/4 higher.

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    3. Member Of Species‏ @MemberOfSpecies 11 Aug 2014
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      (To be fair, many would say it's only very slightly too high.)

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    4. Member Of Species‏ @MemberOfSpecies 11 Aug 2014
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      Replying to @MemberOfSpecies

      I'm not very confident that my interpretation here is correct, but if it is, that seems a more interesting takeaway than the "false balance"

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    5. Member Of Species‏ @MemberOfSpecies 11 Aug 2014
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      finding that is being fed to the media.

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    6. Member Of Species‏ @MemberOfSpecies 11 Aug 2014
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      Replying to @MemberOfSpecies

      Also, almost 40% of those polled think ECS < 2.5K. Many of these people would probably count as skeptics for practical purposes?

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      Member Of Species‏ @MemberOfSpecies 11 Aug 2014
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      In that net warming damage is supposed to increase more-than-linearly with temperature rise, and maybe dip below zero for low values.

      4:56 PM - 11 Aug 2014
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        1. Member Of Species‏ @MemberOfSpecies 11 Aug 2014
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          Replying to @MemberOfSpecies

          It would be interesting to see how sensitivity estimates break down by field of expertise, or in subsets of people with more publications.

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