IPCC doesn't state a best estimate for ECS but it looks like their projections are based on models with mean ECS 3.22K.
I'm not very confident that my interpretation here is correct, but if it is, that seems a more interesting takeaway than the "false balance"
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finding that is being fed to the media.
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Also, almost 40% of those polled think ECS < 2.5K. Many of these people would probably count as skeptics for practical purposes?
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