On the other hand, if you get your political opinions from the XKCD man, you kind of deserve what you epistemically get.
@admittedlyhuman @drethelin That's all based on IPCC estimates, which some people think are too pessimistic, e.g. http://www.thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2014/02/A-Sensitive-Matter-Foreword-inc.pdf …
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@admittedlyhuman@drethelin Here's some reasonable-seeming discussion of that issue http://www.climatedialogue.org/climate-sensitivity-and-transient-climate-response/ … -
@admittedlyhuman@drethelin One interesting thing is the confidence interval stayed the same across some amount of data/theory change.
End of conversation
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