Revised Lesswrong post, hopefully clearer than the FB post:https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CPP2uLcaywEokFKQG/toolbox-thinking-and-law-thinking …
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Thank you! Will read when I get a chance.
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This seems to me like something I've run into before, Toolbox thinking that doesn't understand Law thinking. Wrote it up on FB here, might revise for LW2 later. cc
@juliagalef. https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10156448871894228 … -
So, maybe the crux here is “Once you define distance there is in fact a shortest path through the maze.” If you make a bunch of ontological assumptions, then probability theory applies—relative to those assumptions.
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IME with CFAR rationality, "ultimate" is giving the wrong impression - it sounds too universal. I'd argue that CFAR endorses a criterion *schema* around "what you personally want", but it's intended for everyone to substitute x=(you personally), after which it's highly subjective
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To put it another way, in this view there's an ultimate *meta*-criterion for one's own personal criterion for optimality. Ideal rationality means conforming to a criterion drawn from that family of criteria. But you get to set all the free variables to whatever you want.
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the bit about "one weird trick that guarantees an optimal result" is totally ass-backward
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Bayesian decision theory?
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Isn’t it a methodology of reasoning rather than a “claim”? Namely, a methodology fully expected to produce the same cognitive outcomes given the same inputs regardless of who’s doing the thinking?
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Hmm, interesting that you say this, because
@admittedlyhuman seemed to have exactly the opposite reaction (namely, that rationality is only about the criterion and definitely not at all about the method). It seems that clarification of the diversity of understandings is needed! - 2 more replies
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