The scientific induction starter pack.pic.twitter.com/N1Hm1W3tpq
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This is controversial within the philosophy of science. Most theories say that good scientific theories are predictive. “Causality” is pretty much impossible to define. Working scientists are likely to have a different view! But they can’t define causality either.
Either you have a statistical model, or you have a model of some internal mechanisms that cause the phenomenon (with perhaps some statistical models at deeper levels). Both are predictive, but with only one can we know what cannot happen.
I think this is right. However, there’s no worked-out version of what a mechanistic model means, in general, so far as I know. This is definitely a problem for the philosophy of science. It think it’s probably also a problem for scientific practice, but that’s less clear!
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