All theories define their own metaphysical realities. You should 'believe' it if the theory is useful
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Replying to @FateOfTwist_
Yes… But in lots of cases probability is not useful!
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Replying to @Meaningness
well, it's not useful at object level but I think it's useful for general statements. Offers interesting explanation of...
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Replying to @FateOfTwist_ @Meaningness
prevalence of logical thinking when probability is in some sense more nuanced
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Replying to @FateOfTwist_
the post is pointing out that there are much more sophisticated ways of reasoning than that
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Replying to @Meaningness
Yeah, I kind of moved goalposts. Appeal to probability there obv. not justified but I thought the bayes arg. could be stronger
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Replying to @Meaningness
I'm currently drafting something that I think is trying to solve the same problem as you...
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Replying to @FateOfTwist_ @Meaningness
it's a theory (system) of what you call meta-systematic cognition
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I look forward to reading it!
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