@St_Rev I’ve seen much higher estimates but haven’t looked in enough detail to evaluate.
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Replying to @Meaningness
@Meaningness@St_Rev seems v. hard to know what the right set of ceteris paribus assumptions to model under wld be2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @schakalsynthetc
@schakalsynthetc@St_Rev Yeah; among other critical questions, how many people who currently don’t work start working and vice versa.2 replies 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @Meaningness
@schakalsynthetc@St_Rev Experiments are being proposed seriously, so maybe in a decade there will be enough data to make useable estimates.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @Meaningness
@Meaningness@St_Rev tbh one of the reasons I'm for trying it is we need more data and pilot programs will give us data1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @schakalsynthetc
@schakalsynthetc@St_Rev Yup, absolutely! Important not only for GBI per se (medium run) but also post-scarcity transition (longer run).2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @Meaningness
@schakalsynthetc@St_Rev The first several experiments will likely be fuxed by political meddling and incompetence; maybe some use anyway.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @Meaningness
@Meaningness@schakalsynthetc@St_Rev Hope for some sort of anti-Goodhart's law, where you get useful results on untargeted measures?1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @othercriteria
@othercriteria@schakalsynthetc@St_Rev One can hope! Though I expect if there’s a way to design the experiment so no useful data comes out…1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @Meaningness
@othercriteria@schakalsynthetc@St_Rev E.g. allow people moving into area to participate => guaranteed failure2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
@othercriteria @schakalsynthetc @St_Rev Unrealistically high rate subsidized from outside => nearly guaranteed “success”
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