@Meaningness Hi! Have you read Tetlock's Superforecasting? I was reading your stuff re pop Bayesians, and the book makes interesting points
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@Meaningness critic of Yudkowsky (a guy in tumblr) who said that Tetlock's seems to suggest that Bayesian-like reasoning is really useful -
@ArtirKel It definitely can be useful in some circumstances! It’s just not The Answer To Everything, which some people try to make it. - 2 more replies
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@Meaningness I was reading through your quite interesting site here http://meaningness.com/comment/365#comment-365 … and I remembered about the book and otherThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@Meaningness to predict things like geopolitical events. That makes sense to me. Also the part about 'Bayes is not always right' he has.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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