“Probable inference is more like measuring smoke than counting children, in that the probabilities themselves are not well defined.”—RT Cox
@GrumplessGrinch @cwage If I write this up, I’ll need to go back and read Jaynes carefully to make sure I understand exactly how he got >
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@GrumplessGrinch@cwage > confused, but I think the phrase “Aristotelian logic” was what tripped him up. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Term_logic -
@GrumplessGrinch@cwage Anyway, the upshot is that Jaynes didn’t understand that Cox’s theorem applies only to boolean algebra, which > - 13 more replies
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