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Meaningness's profile
David Chapman
David Chapman
David Chapman
@Meaningness

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David Chapman

@Meaningness

Better ways of thinking, feeling, and acting—around problems of meaning and meaninglessness; self and society; ethics, purpose, and value.

meaningness.com/about-my-sites
Joined September 2010

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    1. David Chapman‏ @Meaningness 15 Oct 2014
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      Replying to @Meaningness

      @MemberOfSpecies If that *was* clear, I’m not sure how what I attributed to singularitarianism differs from the actual argument.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. Member Of Species‏ @MemberOfSpecies 15 Oct 2014
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      Replying to @Meaningness

      @Meaningness The difference is in the ε, which I take to refer only to probabilities so small they make max-EU heuristics problematic.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. David Chapman‏ @Meaningness 15 Oct 2014
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      @MemberOfSpecies The problem is more that U and P are both so uncertain that UxP could be anything; was subject of y aborted LW sequence.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Member Of Species‏ @MemberOfSpecies 15 Oct 2014
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      Replying to @Meaningness

      @Meaningness The P is very hard to give precisely justified estimates for, but it can be constrained somewhat with informal arguments.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Member Of Species‏ @MemberOfSpecies 15 Oct 2014
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      @Meaningness Maybe action in advance of AI progress is only 10% as effective, and, say, $100M buys you 0.05% instead of 0.5% risk reduction.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Member Of Species‏ @MemberOfSpecies 15 Oct 2014
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      @Meaningness Saying, "yes, this argument decreases how much success we should anticipate, but the payoff is huge" seems reasonable here.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. David Chapman‏ @Meaningness 15 Oct 2014
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      Replying to @MemberOfSpecies

      @MemberOfSpecies Agreed. But then, the question is, can you do anything with $10M *at all*, in absence of plausible starting points?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. David Chapman‏ @Meaningness 15 Oct 2014
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      Replying to @Meaningness

      @MemberOfSpecies It’s not my money, so anyone is welcome to bet… But I’d diagnose “staff spends time writing fan fiction” as “no starting pt

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Member Of Species‏ @MemberOfSpecies 15 Oct 2014
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      Replying to @Meaningness

      @Meaningness One of the staff spends time writing a particular fan fiction that turned out popular enough to be useful movement-building.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Member Of Species‏ @MemberOfSpecies 15 Oct 2014
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      Replying to @MemberOfSpecies

      @Meaningness That's a strategy I could expect to see whether or not there were plausible starting points.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      David Chapman‏ @Meaningness 15 Oct 2014
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      Replying to @MemberOfSpecies

      @MemberOfSpecies Yes, maybe; I’ve adopted a similar strategy! (B4V) I have no axe to grind here.

      8:11 PM - 15 Oct 2014
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. David Chapman‏ @Meaningness 15 Oct 2014
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          @MemberOfSpecies I was just curious about why @slatestarcodex’s piece seemed uncharacteristically weak, and that led to a one-liner, and.

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