@Meaningness @asilentsky It all seems incoherent and mad to me, but so does the whole bootstrap apocalypse and they take that seriously.
@MemberOfSpecies The problem with “U×P, U huge, P not super small” is that it could be anything, so no meaningful way to use decision theory
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@MemberOfSpecies to compare with other risks/opportunities. -
@MemberOfSpecies What it does tell you is that it’s worth collecting more information, *if you can*. So I think some effort is justifiable. - 6 more replies
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