@St_Rev I'm not sure that's the case. There are certainly theories developed before evidence for them were discovered.
@St_Rev Thanks! Didn’t really understand what you said about Benford’s Law, I’m afraid.
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@Meaningness But you *can* get around that and answer questions like "how many 'random' numbers start with 1?" which is Benford's Law. -
@St_Rev I’m starting to get it, tx!
End of conversation
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@Meaningness More generally: if you absolutely must use probability theory, try to apply it to the set of observations, not theories.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@Meaningness "Here's a machine that just spit out the number 1897.19787872. What are the odds?"Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@Meaningness One huge problem addressing that is that there's no uniform probability measure over the reals. Many fallacies from that.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@Meaningness It's subtle but it's not impossible (unlike, say, assigning probabilities to theories themselves).Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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