@st_rev @themattsimpson I’m finding http://vserver1.cscs.lsa.umich.edu/~crshalizi/weblog/cat_bayes.html … says many things I planned to say someday. Have you read his stuff? Any opinions?
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@themattsimpson Short version: Jaynes didn’t understand the vast difference between propositional and predicate calculus.
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Replying to @Meaningness
@themattsimpson The folk theorem is “Bayes is the only correct extension of logic to [0,1], so it is a complete epistemology & rationality”
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Replying to @Meaningness
@themattsimpson but actually it only extends propositional logic, which is trivial
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Replying to @Meaningness
@themattsimpson What Cox’s theorem *actually* says is that there are no interesting non-standard models of the probability axioms, >
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@themattsimpson > like the non-standard models of the real numbers. Their nonexistence is mildly interesting in a disappointing sort of way.
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